Política internacional

Goodbye Lenin or Hello Putin?

The 176 measures announced by Havana are the latest economic opening without political reform. The question is not whether Cuba will become capitalist, but whether it will mutate into an oligarchic authoritarianism like Russia or Belarus.

On Xenophobia and Tribalism in Africa: Causes, Consequences, and Geopolitical Impacts

The rise of xenophobia and tribalism is deepening fractures between peoples long united by shared history. An analysis of the causes, consequences, and geopolitical impacts of a drift that undermines pan-African ambitions.

Rightward Shift Driven by Fear of Decline: When Inequality Radicalizes Politics

Fear of downward mobility votes right. How wealth inequality and economic frustration shape current polling trends.

Lessons from the Nazer State: Crowdsourced Denunciation and the Privatization of Political Repression

How a government-backed smartphone application converted civilian society into an instrument of state control, and what it reveals about the future of democratic erosion.

Cameroon Learning from Senegalese Democracy

From a Cameroonian vantage point, Senegal's recent alternations of power expose the fatigue of a democracy captured by a single man for more than forty years.

Populism and Trump as an Expression of an Unequal Society

A political religion that challenges American democracy and, at the same time, expresses a social demand.

Venezuela in Transition: Five Factors Favoring a Democratic Exit

Five dynamics — chronic illegitimacy, a brake on repression, economic infeasibility of continuity, closure of the migratory valve, and united opposition around Machado — that indicate a democratic transition remains viable.

Russia and Western Democracies

Timeline of a hybrid war against the rule of law. A sequence of cases stretching from Euromaidan to the Baltics: how Moscow combines propaganda, energy pressure, cyber-attacks, espionage and opaque funding to erode democratic trust without necessarily declaring war.

The decline of Hungarian authoritarianism

After almost two decades of illiberal government, the result in Hungary reopens the possibility of a republican return. A reflection on democratic fragility in the face of authoritarian populism.

Something is moving on the islands

Notes from an election night in the UK and the island of Ireland. Something breaks down in the political center of the archipelago, and something else, still undefined, begins to take shape on the margins.